據能源經濟4月21日新聞消息稱，國際能源署(IEA)在一份報告中表示，2021年全球能源需求將增長4.6%，超過2020年4%的萎縮，并將需求推高至2019年水平以上。

需求復蘇還將使2021年與能源相關的二氧化碳排放量增加近5%。IEA執行干事Fatih Birol表示:“受電力行業煤炭使用的復蘇推動，全球碳排放量今年將躍升15億噸。這真是一個可怕的信號，表明從Covid - 19危機中復蘇的經濟目前對我們的氣候來說絕不是可持續的。”

報告稱，2021年全球煤炭需求將超過2019年的水平，增長4.5%，其中逾80%的增長將集中在亞洲。

預計2021年全球石油需求將增長6.2%，但仍將比2019年水平低3%左右。受亞洲、中東和俄羅斯需求上升的推動，預計2021年天然氣需求將增長3.2%。天然氣需求將比2019年的水平高出1%。

到2021年，電力需求將出現10多年來最快的增長。到2021年，需求將增長4.5%，其中近80%的預期增長來自新興市場和發展中經濟體。

預計2021年可再生能源發電量將躍升8%以上，占全球總電力供應增長的一半以上。到2021年，可再生能源將占全球發電量的30%，高于2019年的不到27%。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 能源經濟

原文如下：

Global energy demand to increase by 4.6 per cent in 2021: IEA

Global energy demand is set to increase by 4.6 per cent in 2021, more than offsetting the 4 per cent contraction in 2020 and pushing demand above 2019 levels, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said in a report.

A demand recovery would also boost energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by almost 5 per cent in 2021. “Global carbon emissions are set to jump by 1.5 billion tonnes this year – driven by in the resurgence of coal use in the power sector. This is a dire warning that the economic recovery from the Covid crisis is currently anything but sustainable for our climate,” said Fatih Birol, the IEA Executive Director.

Global coal demand in 2021 is set to exceed 2019 levels, rising 4.5 per cent, with more than 80 per cent of the growth concentrated in Asia, as per the report.

Global oil demand is forecast to rise 6.2 per cent in 2021 but will still stay around 3 per cent below 2019 levels. Natural gas demand is expected to grow by 3.2 per cent in 2021, driven by rising demand in Asia, the Middle East, and Russia. The gas demand would exceed 2019 levels by 1 per cent.

Electricity demand is set to register its fastest growth in more than 10 years in 2021. The demand would expand by 4.5 per cent in 2021 with almost 80 per cent of the projected increase in emerging markets and developing economies.

Electricity generation from renewables is expected to jump by over 8 per cent in 2021, accounting for more than half of the increase in overall electricity supply worldwide. Renewables would provide 30 per cent of electricity generation worldwide in 2021, up from less than 27 per cent in 2019.