據TABNI網站迪拜報道，到2024年前，全球乙烯年產能將有可觀的增加，乙烯年產能可能從2019年的1.9154億噸增加到2024年的2.8322億噸，總增長48%。

全球領先的數據和分析公司GlobalData表示，在所有地區中，亞洲地區將引領全球乙烯產能增長，亞洲地區的乙烯年產能預計將從2019年的7091萬噸增加到2024年的1.2045億噸，年均增長率(AAGR)為10.6%。

GlobalData發表的題為《全球到2024年乙烯工業展望——產能和資本支出預測，包括所有已投產和已計劃新建乙烯廠細節》報告顯示，到2024年前，大約有123家已計劃和已宣布的乙烯廠將投產，其中主要集中在亞洲。

在亞洲，中國到2024年前將年增2748萬噸乙烯產能。中國對亞洲新增乙烯產能的貢獻約為59.9%，主要新增乙烯產能將來自埃克森美孚公司在中國的舟山乙烯廠和埃克森美孚公司惠州乙烯廠1期項目，到2024年前，新增乙烯產能將分別達到180萬噸和160萬噸。

GlobalData油氣分析師Dayanand Kharade表示：“亞洲將主導全球乙烯市場，這主要是由于中國的新項目數量和新增絕對產能規模都是最大的。到2024年前，中國將建設大約33個乙烯項目。”

GlobalData確定印度在新增乙烯產能方面在亞洲地區將是第二高的國家，其乙烯年產能到2024年將從2019年的738萬噸增加到1433萬噸，其AAGR為13.3%。主要乙烯產能增加將來自納亞拉能源公司的瓦迪納爾乙烯廠，其乙烯年產能2024年前將達到180萬噸。

韓國將成為亞太地區新增乙烯產能第三高的國家，其年產能將從2019年的995萬噸增加到2024年的1413萬噸，其AAGR為7%。主要新增乙烯產能將來自S-Oil公司的蔚山乙烯廠2期項目，其乙烯年產能到2024年前將達到150萬噸。

李峻 編譯自 TABNI.com

原文如下：

Asia to lead global ethylene capacity additions

Global ethylene capacity is poised to see considerable growth by 2024, potentially increasing from 191.54 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) in 2019 to 283.22 mtpa in 2024, registering a total growth of 48%.

Among the regions, Asia will lead the capacity additions and the region’s ethylene capacity is expected to increase from 70.91 mtpa in 2019 to 120.45 mtpa in 2024, at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 10.6%, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

The company’s report, ‘Global Ethylene Industry Outlook to 2024 – Capacity and Capital Expenditure Forecasts with Details of All Active and Planned Plants’ reveals that around 123 planned and announced plants are scheduled to come online, predominantly in Asia, by 2024.

Within Asia, China will add a capacity of around 27.48 mtpa by 2024. China’s contribution to Asia’s total capacity addition is around 59.9% Major capacity additions will be from Exxon Mobil Corporation Zhoushan Ethylene Plant and Exxon Mobil Corporation Huizhou Ethylene Plant 1, with capacities of 1.80 mtpa and 1.60 mtpa, respectively, by 2024.

Dayanand Kharade, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, says: “Asia will dominate the global ethylene market, mainly due to China coming up with both the biggest number of new projects and the largest absolute capacity additions. The country is set to build around 33 ethylene projects by 2024.”

GlobalData identifies India as the second highest country within the region in terms of capacity additions, with capacity increase from 7.38 mtpa in 2019 to 14.33 mtpa in 2024, at an AAGR of 13.3%, Major capacity additions will be from Nayara Energy Vadinar Ethylene Plant, with a capacity of 1.80 mtpa by 2024.

South Korea will be the third highest country within the region in terms of capacity additions, with capacity increasing from 9.95 mtpa in 2019 to 14.13 mtpa in 2024, at an AAGR of 7%. Major capacity additions will be from S-Oil Corporation Ulsan Ethylene Plant 2, with a capacity of 1.50 mtpa by 2024.