據能源轉型2020年7月28日紐約報道，根據德勤會計師事務所的最新分析，由于消費者信心的改變和使用行為習慣障礙逐步消除，全球電動汽車（EV）年銷量到2030年前有望達到3110萬輛，比之前的預測多出1000萬輛。

這家全球著名咨詢公司7月28日表示，這意味著到2030年前售出的新車中，有三分之一將是EV，從而使其總市場份額達到32%。

德勤會計師事務所補充說，盡管新冠病毒疫情大流行在全球造成破壞，但德勤會計師事務所仍預計，基于29%的復合年增長率，全球EV總銷量今年將達到250萬輛。德勤會計師事務所估計，這個數字到2025年和2030前將分別增加到1120萬輛和3110萬輛以上。

德勤會計師事務所說：“在這個里程碑上，根據研究，全EV銷量將占到所有新EV銷量的81%，超過其插電式混合動力EV。”

德勤會計師事務所補充說，EV銷量的增長受到了良好的監管環境的推動，比如財務激勵機制和排放目標，以及一系列新EV車型的開發。

李峻 編譯自 能源轉型

原文如下：

EVs to make up third of new cars sold globally by 2030: Deloitte

The world is on course to reach annual electric vehicles sales of 31.1 million by 2030, 10 million more than previously forecast, due to changing consumer sentiment and dissipating adoption barriers, according to new analysis by Deloitte.

The consultancy said July 28 that this meant that one in three new cars sold by 2030 would be EVs, bringing the total market share up to 32%.

It added that, in spite of the disruption caused by the coronavirus pandemic, it still expected total global EV sales to reach 2.5 million in 2020 and, based on a compound annual growth rate of 29%, Deloitte estimated that the volume would grow to above 11.2 million in 2025 and 31.1 million by 2030.

"At this milestone, fully electric vehicles will account for 81% of all new EVs sold according to the research, outperforming their plug-in hybrid peers," it said.

Deloitte added that EV growth was being driven by a favorable regulatory environment, such as financial incentives and emission targets, as well as the development of a wide range of new EV models.