據6月25日Oil Monster消息：咨詢公司Rystad Energy周二表示，今年全球天然氣產量將下降2.6％，而此前預估會有所增長。

Rystad Energy曾預計，2020年天然氣總產量將從去年的4069億立方米增至4.233億立方米。

而根據最新預測，今年產量將為3962億立方米，2021年增至4015億立方米，2022年增至4094億立方米。

按百分比計算，受影響最大的是來自油田的伴生天然氣，最初預計該產量與2019年5.47億立方米的水平基本持平。

現在預計2020年將下降5.5％，至517億立方米，2021年升至530億立方米，2022年升至542億立方米。

Rystad Energy提供有關全球能源市場的數據和分析。其天然氣和電力市場主管卡洛斯·托雷斯-迪亞茲表示：“部分復蘇將受到未來油價樂觀情緒的推動，到2025年，相關氣田產量可能逐漸提高到近6億立方米。”

“但未來油價如何變化，將決定天然氣總產量。”他補充道。

Rystad Energy預測，2025年布倫特原油價格將穩定在60美元/桶左右，目前為43美元/桶左右。

馮娟 摘譯自 Oil Monster

原文如下：

Global Natural Gas Production to Fall by 2.6% This Year

Global natural gas output is set to fall by 2.6% this year because of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, after previously being expected to grow, consultancy Rystad Energy said on Tuesday.

Rystad Energy had expected total natural gas production to rise to 4,233 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2020 from 4,069 bcm last year.

Now it expects production to be 3,962 bcm for this year, rising to 4,015 bcm in 2021 and to 4,094 bcm in 2022.

The most affected output in percentage terms is associated gas from oilfields - a form of natural gas found in deposits of petroleum - which was initially forecast to stay largely flat year-on-year from a 2019 level of 547 bcm.

It is now expected to fall by 5.5% to 517 bcm in 2020, before rising to 530 bcm in 2021 and 542 bcm in 2022.

Rystad Energy provides data and analysis on the global energy markets.

"Part of the recovery will be driven by optimism in future oil prices, which could gradually drive output from associated gas fields to near 600 bcm by 2025," Rystad Energy's Head of Gas and Power Markets Carlos Torres-Diaz said.

"But how future oil prices really evolve will actually define the total natural gas output," he added.

Rystad Energy forecasts that Brent crude oil prices will stabilise at around $60 per barrel in 2025, compared to around $43 a barrel currently.