據(jù)烴加工新聞5月7日消息稱，預(yù)計(jì)到2024年，亞洲將引領(lǐng)全球煉油加氫裂化裝置的產(chǎn)能增長，占全球產(chǎn)能增長的49%左右。GlobalData表示，到2024年，該地區(qū)可能會增加120萬桶/天的加氫裂化裝置產(chǎn)能。

該公司的報(bào)告《到2024年的全球煉油加氫裂化裝置展望–包括所有已運(yùn)營和計(jì)劃中的加氫裂化裝置的詳細(xì)信息的產(chǎn)能和資本支出展望》顯示全球加氫裂化裝置的產(chǎn)能預(yù)計(jì)將增加240萬桶/天，從2019年的1130萬桶/天增加到2024年的約1370萬桶/天。在全球新增產(chǎn)能中，有160萬桶/天產(chǎn)能可能來自于現(xiàn)有項(xiàng)目的擴(kuò)建，而其余80萬桶/天則有望來自計(jì)劃中和宣布中的新建項(xiàng)目。

GlobalData的石油和天然氣分析師Adithya Rekha表示：“到2024年，亞洲加氫裂化裝置的總產(chǎn)能將增加120萬桶，其中40萬桶/天可能來自現(xiàn)有的擴(kuò)建項(xiàng)目，預(yù)計(jì)到2024年，新建設(shè)項(xiàng)目將貢獻(xiàn)剩余的每天80萬桶。在該地區(qū)，中國、印度和泰國占新增產(chǎn)能的大部分，到2024年總計(jì)將達(dá)到110萬桶/天?！?/span>

GlobalData預(yù)計(jì)，到2024年，獨(dú)聯(lián)體地區(qū)在加氫裂化裝置產(chǎn)能增加方面將排名第二。預(yù)計(jì)到2024年，該地區(qū)將貢獻(xiàn)全球加氫裂化裝置產(chǎn)能增長的22%，總產(chǎn)能將增加54萬桶/天。2024年。在FSU中，俄羅斯以48萬桶/天的新增產(chǎn)能占據(jù)了大部分。

Rekha結(jié)論道：“中東將成為全球第三高的地區(qū)，到2024年將增加32.5萬桶/天的產(chǎn)能。到2024年，科威特、巴林和阿曼將成為該地區(qū)產(chǎn)量最大的三個(gè)國家，日產(chǎn)量總計(jì)將達(dá)到27萬桶?！?/span>

曹海斌 摘譯自 烴加工新聞

原文如下：

Asia to lead global hydrocracking unit capacity growth

Asia is expected to lead global refinery hydrocracking units’ capacity growth, contributing about 49% of the total global capacity growth by 2024. The region is likely to add 1.2 million bpd of hydrocracking units capacity by 2024, says GlobalData.

The company’s report, ‘Global Refinery Hydrocracking Units Outlook to 2024 – Capacity and Capital Expenditure Outlook with Details of All Operating and Planned Hydrocracking Units’, reveals that the global hydrocracking units’ capacity is expected to increase by 2.4 million bpd, from 11.3 million bpd in 2019 to about 13.7 million bpd in 2024. Out of the total global capacity additions, 1.6 million bpd is likely to come from the expansion of active projects while the remaining 800 000 bpd is expected to come from new-build planned and announced projects.

Adithya Rekha, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Out of the Asia’s total hydrocracking units capacity additions of 1.2 million by 2024, 400 000 bpd is likely to come from active expansion projects and new-build projects are expected to contribute the rest 800 000 bpd by 2024. In the region, China, India and Thailand account for most of the capacity additions with a combined total of 1.1 million bpd by 2024.”

GlobalData expects Former Soviet Union (FSU) to occupy the second place in terms of hydrocracking unit capacity additions by 2024. The region is expected to contribute about 22% of the global hydrocracking units’ capacity growth, with total capacity additions of 540 000 bpd by 2024. In the FSU, Russia accounts for most of the capacity additions with 480 000 bpd.

Rekha concludes: “Middle East will be the third-highest region globally, with 325 000 bpd capacity addition by 2024. Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman will be the top three contributors in the region with a combined capacity of 270 000 bpd by 2024.”